Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1917.364944 2092.001750 2270.315981 2465.722605 2673.554100 2887.716916 3124.800096
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1627.075209 1882.010318 2153.451695 2462.880782 2804.716983 3169.703770 3587.744174
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1424.229781 1722.394756 2050.039960 2434.540963 2871.081034 3349.011305 3909.462660
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1301.566003 1633.757537 2008.449745 2458.665005 2981.107603 3564.482571 4261.217271
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1188.304533 1543.390636 1953.523792 2456.847485 3052.295425 3728.721926 4549.426502
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1119.635486 1498.545640 1945.354129 2503.755520 3175.292066 3949.271309 4900.752457
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1027.713803 1417.915408 1887.696343 2485.486786 3216.042456 4069.941678 5133.012938
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 983.375194 1392.540447 1893.945497 2541.735285 3344.072597 4292.804956 5486.229283
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 925.432178 1345.568876 1869.679215 2557.128497 3419.931142 4451.814333 5762.976273
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 867.610866 1294.854209 1837.236283 2559.185476 3476.903755 4586.432102 6009.788562
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 781.108684 1200.864945 1744.370982 2479.787983 3427.891253 4587.877423 6091.539340
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 764.067140 1199.627238 1771.492974 2554.188670 3573.121300 4829.990974 6470.857181
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 734.660296 1180.460513 1774.745249 2598.287813 3681.706796 5029.863318 6803.280241
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 689.659296 1136.938162 1743.269651 2594.968011 3728.231960 5151.745701 7039.518042
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 639.137648 1082.503860 1694.162385 2565.489925 3738.489706 5226.135730 7215.239249
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 610.962960 1058.968414 1686.303081 2590.585122 3819.881821 5391.405038 7506.970657
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 576.127031 1023.488690 1659.888037 2588.694516 3864.240568 5508.423427 7737.359680
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 559.486153 1014.548497 1670.427963 2637.484528 3976.640561 5714.446546 8083.685575
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 523.691732 974.062860 1633.704088 2618.483895 3995.973578 5798.041316 8271.639325
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 512.609998 971.627553 1651.975137 2676.981636 4121.296222 6021.904251 8643.598292
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 490.354715 950.126691 1641.051480 2692.988217 4187.746407 6167.925398 8914.637739
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 465.754037 923.465566 1621.219511 2695.127089 4234.292016 6287.245317 9151.063464
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 421.125995 861.185797 1544.971347 2612.556507 4160.028636 6242.494632 9168.904030